Issued Zones: Mogollon Rim, including Flagstaff, Prescott, and Payson … Kingman on the outskirts with residual outflow formed storms … The Grand Canyon …
Site: Arizona Weather Force has issued a Flood Watch effective Thursday through Saturday of this week …
Date: 7/26/21 at 12:45pm PT
Forecast: The Arizona Weather Force Flood Risk Model (Below) is pegging a higher risk flood concern along the Mogollon Rim starting Thursday and going through Saturday, a three-day window. That would be July 29th, through July 31st.
A return in monsoon moisture will bring higher instability across the area. The deepening of the moisture field will work with this and again.. produce thunderstorms across the region. We will see an upswing on the rim on Wednesday, but between the window dates listed above is when we will see the flood issues. Due to the saturated ground, the flood watch has to be issued.
It is not a widespread event that will make it to Phoenix like before, but Prescott you are in this one … and because Payson you are close to the border where the storms will form most to your north, you also are included.
10 mile rule: These alerts issued on this site
means that within your zone and 10 miles from you will see the event
forecast for. You may or may not see the event but it means you are in
the zone or 10 miles from where someone will.
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Arizona Weather Force is a custom weather alert service that began in September 2019 off of Southern California Weather Force and is regarded as the most accurate weather service in the state, offering custom alerts, maps, and models to help save life and property. The work done here is never 100% accurate, but it comes pretty close. Arizona Weather Force runs on zones, so if an event happens in a zone that is 10 miles from the border of your zone, the forecast is still valid to activate your zone’s alert system. A company quote to the public is that of “The Joker” and tells other agencies in weather this all the time… “This world deserves a better class of meteorologist… and I’m gonna give it to them”… out-forecasting even the National Weather Service with lead-time and precision, which makes this service a focus of ridicule and envy in the weather community due to having such accuracy. Alerts issued here are issued custom from this office and this office alone. You may not even hear it elsewhere, but if one is issued near or in your area, listen up because “if you do not wish to die in weather, follow, it’ll save your life one day.”