May 15, 2024 at 2:36 pm

Strong La Nina to Enter for the 2024-2025 Arizona Storm Season; Advisory Issued


Arizona Weather Force has issued a La Nina Advisory, the second in the step to a warning as a developing La Nina has been detected.

Latest sea surface temperature maps show fast declining numbers, which is indicating that El Nino is officially over and that we will skip straight into a La Nina at least in the next month or so.  This fast decline does indicate the peak of the next one should be strong, possibly stronger than the 2022-2023 season.

While La Nina to many does mean drier conditions, we have seen during the 2010-2011 and 2022-2023 season this not be the case.  As stated in my recent published papers and articles, we have entered a 30-year cycle within the last few years.  That means on average, over the next 25 years we will be seeing average to above average seasons, despite weak El Ninos or strong La Ninas.  We already have seen an upswing over the last few years, so if this next La Nina follows the 2010-2011 and 2022-2023 strong La Nina path, we would yet again have a chance at higher-than-normal rainfall totals for the coming season.

Latest Arizona Weather Force models are showing a huge dip in the sea surface temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific, which in some cases shows a possibly record-breaking La Nina value for the coming season.

Should these numbers continue, by at least August or September, I will be issuing the La Nina Warning.

– Raiden Storm –

Master General Meteorologist – is the Owner and CEO of AZWF, a consulting meteorologist with over 26 years’ experience for over 50 companies, including energy, agriculture, aviation, marine, leisure, and many more areas. He has certs from Mississippi State for broadcast met and Penn State forecasting certs MET 101, 241, 341 and 361 as a meteorologist, but before then was completely self-taught, barely learning a thing from the schools that he did not already know.

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