Arizona Weather Force has issued a Tornado Watch for Southeastern Arizona, from Santa Cruz County to the Tucson Metro area. Arizona Weather Force has also issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the Mogollon Southern Rim and Maricopa County’s Populated Zones, with Pinal County also in the crosshairs, including the San Tan Valley.
Zones Affected: Mogollon Rim including Payson, Prescott, Flagstaff, and Show Low southward – Kingman – Maricopa and Pinal County – Graham County – Pima County – Western Cochise County – Santa Cruz County.
Discussion: As stated in the Weather Advisory, this event would happen. At the current time, instability is increasing across the watch areas. The first major storms will be Santa Cruz County. These storms will be extremely severe. Storm motion down there will be directly at Tucson. Surface convergence looks to be maximized this afternoon across those areas, and north to Tucson’s metro areas. This means there is a chance of tornadoes down there.
As the outflow from the Mogollon Rim encompasses the watch area there, storms will hit Prescott hit on as well. Storms will propagate down the rim and merge with outflow from Tucson into Pinal and ignite storms in the Casa Grande, Phoenix, and San Tan Forecast Zones this evening.
Given the sky is extremely clear right now, this is certain to happen.
Previous Weather Advisory Link – https://arizonaweatherforce.com/2024/07/10/monsoon-pattern-returns-to-arizona-july-14th-onward-for-several-days-long-range-weather-advisory-update/
– Raiden Storm –
https://www.arizonaweatherforce.com
Master General Meteorologist – is the Owner and CEO of AZWF, a consulting meteorologist with over 26 years’ experience for over 50 companies, including energy, agriculture, aviation, marine, leisure, and many more areas. He has certs from Mississippi State for broadcast met and Penn State forecasting certs MET 101, 241, 341 and 361 as a meteorologist, but before then was completely self-taught, barely learning a thing from the schools that he did not already know.
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