Arizona Weather Force has issued a Special Weather Statement effective this first week of September. This will replace Long Range Weather Watch issued back on August 28th for this exact pattern of the return of the monsoonal flow.
It is a race against time to nab the next Pacific Storm name as two systems are currently in the ring fighting for that spot. The system name that will affect Arizona will either be Kiko or Lorena.
I rather it be Kiko because we all know what the name Lorena Bobbitt is and this could be a disaster.
A system is expected to develop very shortly down off the Mexican Coast. This will eventually be a named system and then move rapidly to the northwest toward the Baja, Mexico zones by the middle of this next week. Given that, strong outflow to the north will bring copious amounts of moisture to Western Mexico’s higher elevation mountain zones. With the ridge of high pressure in place across Southwestern Utah, moisture and outflow from Mexico will get entrained into it and start a long period multi-day event across the state.
Each day will be different, as always during the monsoon. However, this does look like the type to not only affect the high terrain, but send severe thunderstorms down into the low areas, so Tucson, Pinal, Phoenix, and even the Colorado River Valley zones once again. So if you need to prepare for this coming week, say between Tuesday and Saturday impacts, then do so now.
What will be Kiko or Lorena (shudders) will be watched as it develops, because one move to the east and it could cross Cabo San Lucas and head to Arizona.
A Special Weather Statement is issued here at Arizona Weather Force when a focus pattern has been seen, which replaces an earlier issued long range weather alert.
Arizona Weather Force will have daily updates for the app/email system between 9-10am and noon for social media.
Raiden Storm
Master General Meteorologist
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