Arizona Weather Force has issued a Thunderstorm Watch effective now for Maricopa, Pinal, Pima, Yavapai, and Gila County effective now through this evening so read on for details and see the AZWF models for coverage, hail, wind, and alert type projected …

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This has to be a quick update due to this being my birthday weekend, but thunderstorms are erupting over the watch areas and will be expected to move through the populated low-level areas in hit and miss to widely scattered fashion through this evening.

LONG RANGE:  We dry out after this weekend across most if not all of the state and then return with the monsoon flow after rthe 4th, with increasing dynamics for storms through then and the second week of September.

You need to compare the AZWF models below for coverage of activity first and then the rest can follow.

Coverage Of Activity – Image is clickable

Complete
Numerous
Scattered
Widely Scattered
Hit and Miss

Hail Risk – Image is clickable

Extreme
High
Moderate
Notable

Wind Damage Risk – Image is clickable

Extreme
High
Moderate
Notable

Alert Type Proposed – Image is clickable

Tornado Watch
Enhanced Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 
Severe Thunderstorm Advisory (This may be merged with the watch due to confusion, they both will yield severe storms)
Thunderstorm Watch

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