Arizona Weather Force

Every beginning month or so I’ll issue a monthly forecast.  You can view August’s forecast here at this link.  We can note that it did extremely well, even predicting the end month activity we just saw. Here’s the link again – https://www.facebook.com/ArizonaWeatherForce/posts/635466727846107 September is cutoff low season.  It is the season where many think the monsoon will be ramping down, […]

Arizona Weather Force has issued an Enhanced Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Western Arizona, mainly along and near the Colorado River Valley.  Outflow from storms in Southern California will move in out of the southwest today and through the Enhanced Severe Thunderstorm Watch zone.  Aided by an upper-level low, upper jet stream dynamics are in play across the state today.  Where […]

The entire state of Arizona is about ready to ignite with a large area of severe thunderstorm dynamics.  The significant risk model does not mean it is the only area to see severe storms.  Tucson had damaging winds within a thunderstorm watch, however the model had scattered coverage in the forecast as well as high risk for wind damage, thus […]

Arizona Weather Force has issued several alerts over the alert system. So let’s start with the strongest and move to the weakest. ALL alerts go from now through tonight and yes this is, as always, a very detailed forecast outline to read.  I introduced the storm coverage model yesterday, and with the new CPU power I got with YOUR HELP […]

No novel write-up at this time, the graphic will stand the test of time …

Boy oh boy where do I begin with this.  New CPU power has allowed me to finish the storm coverage model.  You can be shaded in a severe thunderstorm watch, yet it would be nice to know the storm coverage expected.  Whether you are hit and miss, scattered, or even complete coverage, the new Arizona Weather Force model will attempt […]

Arizona Weather Force has issued a large scale Severe Weather Statement that spans from Yavapai, east along the entire Mogollon Rim and south through the Phoenix, Pinal County, and Tucson metro areas as AZWF models predict a favorable atmosphere for severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and moderate risk hail. A ridge of high pressure directly over Phoenix today is […]

Issued Zones:  Eastern Arizona … Globe … and Tuc/Nogalas/Oro Valley/Topawa/Wilcox forecast area … Site:  Arizona Weather Force has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch effective now through 10pm tonight … Date:  8/27/21 at 10:00am PT Forecast: Increasing monsoon moisture from yesterday is popping off the first thunderstorm over the Mt. Baldy area, in extreme Southern Apache County.  As stated previously, each day […]

Tropical Storm Nora is set to become a hurricane by tomorrow (Saturday) and is steaming northwest toward the Cabo San Lucus areas.  If that was my jurisdiction they would be issued a Hurricane Watch right now, pending a warning on Saturday as Nora is expected to hit very near or directly on the Southern Baja Peninsula later Sunday into Monday […]

Issued Zones:  Eastern Arizona … Globe … and Tuc/Nogalas/Oro Valley forecast area … Site:  Arizona Weather Force has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch effective now through 10pm tonight … Date:  8/26/21 at 10:05am PT Forecast: Monsoon moisture will be confined and compact across the watch box from the White Mountains/E AZ to the Tuc/Nogales forecast areas today.  The most compact […]